I think every UM fan is predicting a win here, but I'm pretty undecided, even as I right this. Here's what I put in my pre season review:
"After 5 home games to start, the Wolverines hit the road and are given their first loss in my book. Dan Persa is a very good dual threat QB, and if he's as good as last year, he could rip through Michigan's D and rack up some serious points."
Oh how things have changed. Michigan now has a respectable defense, and Dan Persa probably isn't 100% healthy! Plus, Northwestern's top RB is out for the year, which means Michigan can really focus in on Persa. Even if he gets off to a hot start, we know that our defensive coordinator is actually capable of making the right adjustments to slow him down!
On offense, if Denard gets into a rhythm like last week, expect UM to put up a lot of points on a suspect defense. UM showed last week that they have a few tricks up their sleeve, and I don't think NW has the athletes/playmakers needed to stop Denard and co consistently. I think Fitz Toussiant could have another big game.
As for the whole, 'it's our first road game thing', where better to start than Evanston, where the fans aren't exactly the rowdiest.
The only way this game gets close is if Persa plays out of his skin, and I just don't think he will against Greg Mattison's D.
Prediction: Michigan 38; Northwestern 17.